Current market conditions – The Dow Jones (DIA, quote) trading up by 0.21% to 13101.07, S&P 500 (SPY, quote) is trading lower by 0.10% to 1421.51 and the NASDAQ (QQQ, quote) is trading down by 0.65% to 2969.88
Shares of biotech firm Amarin (AMRN, quote) were crushed in after hours trading on Thursday after the company announced plans to raise $100 million in debt financing and to hire 250-300 sales reps to market its fish-oil drug Vascepa. The stock finished the after hours session down more than 18 percent at $9.75. Shares traded as low as $8.76 in the immediate aftermath of the announcement.
Natural Gas traded lower settling $3.666, down $0.034 (0.9%). The curve was weaker, 13/16 down $0.03. Hub cash was weaker, ~$0.20 back this morning, Z-6 down $0.40 to $3.90 as temps are running 10-15 above normal in major Northeast/Midwestern cities through Monday.
Breaking News – Non-Farm Payroll Report
The oil market is a tough call today and could potentially rebound amid channel line support and today’s non-farm payroll report. The channel offers support at $86.10/bbl in WTI, while we think that the payroll report could be spun favorably even if it misses estimates due to superstorm Sandy.
EURUSD breaks below the lower line of the price channel on 4-hour chart, suggesting that a cycle top has been formed at 1.3125 and the uptrend from 1.2661 has completed. The pair is now in downtrend from 1.3125, further decline could be expected and next target would be at 1.2850-1.2900 area. Key resistance is at 1.3125, only break above this level could trigger another rise towards 1.3500.
Following the market opening Thursday, the Dow traded up 0.03 percent to 13,038.87 while the NASDAQ rose 0.37 percent to 2,984.75. The S&P also rose, increasing 0.09 percent to 1,410.48.
The overnight market have once again shown some signs of life in the soy-complex as this market seems to be the only market that has global interest. The beans as of 8CST are trading +6-9, meal gained $1.50-2, oil increased by 25-30 points, corn is virtually unchanged…again and wheat is up 2-3.
Oil prices may fall slightly in the near-term, as pressure is offered by technical factors and the lack of progress in fiscal cliff negotiations. Background pressure will come from next week’s OPEC meeting where quotas are expected to be left unchanged, and from the growing amount of U.S. oil production.
EURUSD may be forming a cycle top at 1.3125 on 4-hour chart. Range trading between 1.3000 and 1.3125 would likely be seen in a couple of days. Support is now located at the lower line of the price channel, as long as the channel support holds, the fall from 1.3125 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend from 1.2661, one more rise towards 1.3500 is still possible after consolidation, only a clear break below the channel support could signal completion of the uptrend.
