NZDUSD has been on a selloff but it looks like a reversal may be in order. Price is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern on its 4-hour time frame, with an upside break of the neckline at the .6600 handle likely to send the pair up by 200 pips or the same height as the formation.
Each week and calendar month, quantitative analysis is used to determine certain probable price movements which can be forecasted.
With end of month approaching and national holidays across most of Europe tomorrow (Ascension Day), this may a good time to look at alternative currencies which are reaching extreme overbought
Despite the sharp selloff that took place in today’s Asian trading session and the double top pattern that formed on the short-term time frames, NZDUSD’s uptrend is still intact.
The New Zealand Dollar was the second best performer this week, finishing just 0.12 percent lower against the top performer, the Australian Dollar. The Kiwi crushed the safe haven currencies, the Japanese Yen and the US Dollar, appreciating by 3.72 percent and 2.05 percent, respectively. As Currency Strategist Ilya Spivak frequently notes, the New Zealand Dollar has a very tight correlation to the MSCI World Stock Index, so the commodity currency is at bay to global risk trends.
JP Morgan losses seriously diminish credibility in banking sector Political saga in Eurozone continues to shake investor confidence China economic data disappoints and weighs further on risk correlated assets Commodity bloc and emerging market FX exposed German; UK inflation mixed The intense risk-off price action that we saw over the past several sessions looked like it might be poised for reprieve into North America on Thursday, before markets got wind
USDCHF – Our Speculative Sentiment Index shows that retail trading crowds remain net-long the US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) against the Swiss Franc. Normally this would lead us to call for near-term losses. Yet the USDCHF remains stuck in a frustratingly narrow range, and only a break below SFr 0.9000 would signal that fresh lows are entirely likely. As it stands most are watching for clues that the Swiss National Bank
Dollar Slips after Fed Forecasts Turn Slightly More Hawkish? British Pound Resilient Despite Double Dip Recession New Zealand Dollar Advances after RBNZ’s Slightly More Dovish Tack Japanese Yen Gains Despite Positive Risk Sentiment Euro: ECB President Draghi Eases His Inflation Tone Canadian Dollar Looking to Capitalize on Break to 7-Month High Gold Recovers from Yet Another Early Fall Thanks to the Dollar Dollar Slips after Fed Forecasts Turn Slightly More
THE TAKEAWAY: RBNZ holds rates at 2.50% > RBNZ wait-and-see approach contrasts with RBA’s dovish bias > Kiwi strengthens
Dollar: Fed Forecasts and 1Q GDP Promising Breakout Catalysts British Pound will Put Modest Hawkish Upgrade to the Growth Test Australian Dollar Traders Have a Clear Expectation for Tuesday’s CPI New Zealand Dollar Measured its Reaction to Inflation, How About the RBNZ? Euro Traders Should Watch French Election, IMF Response and Crisis Headlines Japanese Yen Not Seen as a High-Level Volatility Risk, Good Setup for the BoJ Gold May Finally
