AUDUSD has formed a cycle top at 1.0585 on 4-hour chart. Sideways movement in a range between 1.0500 and 1.0585 would likely be seen. Key support is located at the lower line of the price channel, as long as the channel support holds, the price action from 1.0585 is treated as consolidation of the uptrend from 1.0287, and another rise towards 1.0624 (Sep 14 high) could be expected after consolidation
Long Term AUDUSD Analysis indicates EURUSD breaks above 1.3171 resistance, suggesting that the uptrend from 1.2042 has resumed. Further rise could be expected next week, and next target would be at 1.3400 area.
Oil prices created an inside-day in WTI yesterday and both Brent and WTI again had trouble with their 50-day moving averages. Those technicals may offer pressure again in today’s trade, where the market will also be weighed down by continued growth in U.S. oil production, growth in oil stocks, building gasoline inventories, and generally weak demand.
Being contained by 1.0624 (Sep 14 high) resistance, AUDUSD pulls back from 1.0585, suggesting that a cycle top is being formed on 4-hour chart. Range trading between 1.0500 and 1.0585 would likely be seen in a couple of days. As long as the channel support holds, the fall would possibly be consolidation of the uptrend from 1.0287, and another rise to test 1.0624 resistance is still possible.
Oil prices rallied nicely in yesterday’s trade but once again had trouble getting above the 50-day moving averages in WTI and Brent. Today’s trade could witness a similar disposition, as the general reaction by risk markets yesterday to “bullish” news from the Fed was to finish either lower on the day (as equities did) or significantly below the day’s highs (as energies and precious metals did).
USDCAD stays below a downward trend line on 4-hour chart, and remains in downtrend from 1.0055, and the fall extends to as low as 0.9844. Further decline could be expected after a minor consolidation, and next target would be at 0.9800 area. Initial resistance is at 0.9880, and the key resistance is located at the downward trend line, only a clear break above the trend line resistance could signal completion of the downtrend.
Rice_GrainsThe overnight markets are rolling over as the morning is progressing as once again there is not much of any bullish influences in any market so far. The beans are down 2-4 cents, meal has lost $1, oil is down 5-10 points, corn is down 3-4 and wheat is down 5-6.
Shares of small-cap biotech company Acura Pharmaceuticals (ACUR, quote) soared once again on Tuesday after a massive rally in the name during Monday’s trading session. The stock surged 42 percent and closed the day at $3.49. Acura opened the session at $2.49 and traded all the way up to $4.50 at one point in the morning.
The market appears as though it will trade to the downside in the near-term thanks to Monday’s break of key channel support and due to the inability to maintain rallies. Pressure may also come from a lack of progress in fiscal cliff talks, the potential that OPEC leaves production unchanged at today’s meeting, building levels of U.S. gasoline stocks, and high levels of U.S. oil production.
The Federal Reserve is expected to announce today an expansion of its asset purchases program that is likely to weaken the valuation of the US dollar versus the Canadian currency. Hopes also continue to rise as talks concerning a fiscal cliff deal are believed to be making progress.
