As mentioned in the previous post, the Yen index can give us an excellent perspective of market sentiment, given the Yen’s unique position within the forex market as both a currency of safe haven and a gauge of market risk.
For longer term traders in YM futures, the index in April has continued the pattern of trading that we saw during the second half of March, with the Emini contract trading in a tight range, closing the week following the NFP data, at 14,484, and back in this area once again.
Gold continued to trade in a narrow range once again yesterday, with the April gold futures contract closing marginally lower and ending the gold trading session with a narrow spread down candle, closing just below the psychological $1600 per ounce level at $1594.80 per ounce.
May crude oil futures continued to climb higher once again in yesterday’s trading session, closing at $96.51 per barrel, with a narrow spread up candle with wicks to both top and bottom on the daily chart.
Most U.S. stocks finished higher yesterday, Wednesday, March 13, 2013, extending anew the rally triggered by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke‟s decidedly “dovish” testimony before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday morning, February 26, 2013
The overnight market have once again shown some signs of life in the soy-complex as this market seems to be the only market that has global interest. The beans as of 8CST are trading +6-9, meal gained $1.50-2, oil increased by 25-30 points, corn is virtually unchanged…again and wheat is up 2-3.
The overnight trade is starting the month of December with renewed hopes that December of 2012 will give a Christmas present like the December of 2011. The beans are already +20, meal has gained $5, oil has posted gains of 70 points, corn is pushing 10 higher and wheat is also +10-12.
The overnight markets once again have lost the momentum as it seems the entire market place is watching the same movie. The beans are trading down 10-12, meal is down $3-4, oil has eased by 20 points, corn is down 2-3 and wheat is hovering around unchanged.
The overnight markets are starting to show signs of life again, but considering the bean market is down nearly 10% since the first of the month things are just trying to get its footing again before it starts to run.
Look for the slow drift lower to continue in the near-term, as worries about the health of the economy and the fiscal cliff dominate. Stocks sold off yesterday on various corporate and European news items, but closed near the bottom of last week’s trading range as well as close to a new four-month low.
