The recent improvement in UK data has seen many investors and analysts, ourselves included, ask a rhetorical question with a hint of sarcasm “Brexit, what Brexit?” Traders have apparently reduced their net short positions from record high levels as they realised the fallout in the immediate aftermath of Brexit was not as bad as many had feared. Granted, not all the economic pointers have been great but on the whole
This week saw data from the UK surprise positively and the severally-oversold pound bounced back sharply, while the dollar fell across the board as the Fed watered down rate hike expectations in the minutes of the FOMC’s last meeting and after some weakness in US data was observed, causing the EUR/USD to climb to its best level since 24 June.
GBPUSD is pulling up from its recent slide and looks ready to test the nearby resistance levels. Applying the Fib tool on the latest swing high and low on the 1-hour chart shows that the 38.2% retracement level lines up with a broken support zone around the 1.3100 major psychological mark, which might now hold as resistance.
GBPUSD pair initially rallied a bit, but at the end of the day could not break above the 1.30 level with any gusto.
The UK’s vote to leave the EU has created uncertainty regarding the global economy as the financial market is already being clobbered on suspicion of Brexit fallout, said Premier Li Keqiang on Monday.
EURUSD seems to have bullish momentum on its side at the moment, as price is moving inside an ascending channel and bouncing off support. A test of the channel resistance at 1.1600 could be underway but there’s nearby resistance at the top of a longer-term range around 1.1450.
The GBPUSD pair initially fell during the course of the day and then turn right back around to break out to the upside. However, there is still more than enough resistance at the 1.48 level to keep this market somewhat soft, and this was initially a “knee-jerk reaction” to the latest polling data out of the UK when it comes to the EU referendum.
As we prepare for a volatile week, with every catastrophic world event being laid at the door of the UK and Brexit, it’s time to consider gold which is likely to see some volatile price action this week.
As a trader and investor, I always find volatile markets the most interesting and rewarding.
GBPAUD has been trending higher on its 4-hour chart, moving inside a rising channel visible on that time frame. Price just bounced off the channel support at 2.1150 and may be aiming for the top at 2.1800-2.1900.
