Oil In Focus As OPEC Meeting Looms Large
After months of uncertainty and speculation you would think there will be some clarity about the crude oil situation just days ahead of Wednesday’s OPEC meeting. Well, you would be wrong. In fact, very wrong.
After months of uncertainty and speculation you would think there will be some clarity about the crude oil situation just days ahead of Wednesday’s OPEC meeting. Well, you would be wrong. In fact, very wrong.
It has been a relatively quiet day in the markets due in part to the lack of any major economic news. The US economic calendar in particular will be rather light this week due to Thanksgiving on Thursday.
Crude oil, like many other commodities and markets are present, continues to remain rangebound with the bullish momentum of earlier in the month now waning.
Crude prices jumped in reaction to the latest weekly US crude stockpiles data but then quickly went into reverse gear, before bounce back once again.
Ahead of next week’s talks in Algeria, Reuters reported this morning that Saudi Arabia is apparently willing to reduce its oil output for as long as Iran agrees to freeze its production at current levels.
Oil prices have been extremely volatile of late, without making any significant progress in either direction. The long and short of it is that the stream of mostly negative news has helped to halt the recent rally, while ahead of this month’s informal meeting of the OPEC in Algeria not many people will want to be betting boldly on an oil price plunge. Therefore consolidation is the dominant theme in
Oil prices swung wildly into the positive territory yesterday. The rally eventually came to a halt around the $50 handle for Brent and $48 for WTI, and both contracts have been trending lower from these levels until an hour or so ago.
For longer term traders and investors in oil, as we come to the end of another month with the latest weekly oil inventories now posted, it is once again the weekly and monthly charts that provide insight and context for the future trends.
When considering such as bearish chart as for crude oil, it’s interesting to play a mind game and consider it as perhaps a stock chart – an Enron or a Worldcom, and the prospect of oil going to zero.
For oil prices, the new year could hardly be described as happy, as the relentless decline in prices continues, with December’s pause now starting to fracture, as February’s WTI contract picks up downside momentum.