Grains Commentary – Published Monday morning, 10/29/12 The effects of Sandy are creating havoc across the entire East Coast and could have effects for the next 72 hours if not longer, in the meantime the grain markets are open and it appears that $ flow is leaving the soy markets and shifting back to grains with corn trading +3-4, wheat has gained 4-5, while beans are down 12-14, meal
The overnight markets have continued where yesterday left off with gains being posted in nearly every market. The grain market seem to be gaining some interest again as the equity markets have lost nearly 4% in the past week, this lowers the overall bench market of returns for the year and gives some more runway to trade and place risk back on knowing that the equity benchmark is now up 11% rather than 15%.
The overnight markets have continued where yesterday left off with gains being posted in nearly every market. The grain market seem to be gaining some interest again as the equity markets have lost nearly 4% in the past week, this lowers the overall bench market of returns for the year and gives some more runway to trade and place risk back on knowing that the equity benchmark is now up 11% rather than 15%.
Not sure if it’s the fact that Obama won the debate last night or the fact that earnings continue to fall below expectations but it appears that the market is quickly moving back to a risk off environment moving back to capital preservation mode.
It’s a new day and a new week and after last week’s dismal start to market sentiment and price activity the markets actually finished the week higher vs. the previous week and is continuing the momentum this morning.
It’s hard to believe that the markets are actually now higher on the week by nearly 35 cents in beans and 10 cents in corn after the week had started. The overnight markets are attempting to sustain the gains of yesterday. The overnight news that spiked the wheat markets higher is based on the fact that Ukraine announced they will ban wheat exports starting on November 15th, there is still a lack of clarity if this affects the sales on the books that are scheduled to ship after the 15th or just preventing any further sales.
Could the dog be waking up? The overnight markets are showing signs of life again as things seem to be making an attempt of coming back to life for the bulls. The beans are trading 15-20 higher, meal has gained $4-5, oil gained 25-30, corn is up 4-5 and wheat is up 6-7.
The overnight markets once again are attempting to rebound after yet another disappointing day yesterday. The beans are marginally higher, meal is down in the nearby contracts and higher marginally in the deferred, oil has gained 25-30 points, corn is up 2-3 while wheat has gained 3-4. The bottom line is that the overall market is in a quagmire right now and there is not much influential news.
The overnight markets have made a feeble attempt of recovering some of the devastating losses that have occurred in the past 2 trading session. The beans as of 8:00Cst are hovering near 10 cents higher in the session, meal has gained $3, oil increased by 40-50 points, corn increased by 6-8 and wheat has gained 8-10. Its Tuesday and the markets have been punished over the past few sessions, don’t be too quick to jump back on the bull wagon as there has been extreme technical damage and the beans have a gap that should be filled down to 1478 that dates back to June.
Daily Grains Commentary -The overnight markets remain subdued as it’s now just a waiting game for another USDA report. The beans are trading with minor losses so far in the early AM hours, meal has lost a few $’s while oil has gained a small amount. The wheat is trading slightly higher as weather fears in Australia are catching more attention and corn is down a few cents as further long liquidation is taking place.
You must be logged in to post a comment.