A clarion is a medieval trumpet that had clear, shrill tones. Trumpets were often uses to get people’s attention when making announcements. We are using “clarion” in the context of making announcements, as well as being thought-provoking when sharing our information and opinions with those who are interested in new investment ideas. Topic: Country Indexes The first chart, below, shows the weekly closes of the major bourses since
Traders start out the week with the U.S. dollar broadly lower against the major currency pairs. The moves comes on the hope the U.S. policymakers can reach a deal before the fiscal cliff deadline which in turn pushed sentiment toward risk appetite assets and away from the safety of the U.S. dollar.
A portion of this post was published also in the public section Traders start out the week with the U.S. dollar broadly lower against the major currency pairs. The moves comes on the hope the U.S. policymakers can reach a deal before the fiscal cliff deadline which in turn pushed sentiment toward risk appetite assets and away from the safety of the U.S. dollar.
The weak tone of yesterday’s session indicates that oil prices may move toward the lower end of the two-week consolidation near $89.00 in the near-term. Focus will be on DOE inventories and ADP payrolls today, which may offer modest pressure. Pressure could also come from a lack of investment moving into energy markets at the start of Q4, concerns over global growth, and a slow pace of reform in Spain and Greece. Support may be found from favorable car sales reported yesterday, and relative strength in the euro. We’d look for prices to test support at $88.95 (Sep 26th low) over the next few days.
The Euro continues to be under pressure for the 9th straight session. As headlines hit the wires about Greece and Spain market participants look to move away from the risk appetite assets send money flowing out of the Euro and into the U.S. dollar. Playing the move Euro move
The Euro continues to be under pressure for the 8th straight session. As headlines hit the wires about Greece and Spain market participants look to move away from the risk appetite assets send money flowing out of the Euro and into the U.S. dollar. Playing the move Euro move
Traders are setting their focus on 3 key events today as U.S. market session prepares to open. U.S futures are suggesting positive open with the Dow Jones fair value up by 20.64 and the S&P 500’s fair value higher by 3.34. The NASDAQ is getting nice push higher ahead of Apple’s (APPL, [stock APPL]). Fair value for the NASDAQ is higher by 9.81.
JP Morgan losses seriously diminish credibility in banking sector Political saga in Eurozone continues to shake investor confidence China economic data disappoints and weighs further on risk correlated assets Commodity bloc and emerging market FX exposed German; UK inflation mixed The intense risk-off price action that we saw over the past several sessions looked like it might be poised for reprieve into North America on Thursday, before markets got wind
Most of the major currency pairs continue to show significant correlations with the MSCI World Stock Index, suggesting that broad-based risk appetite trends remain dominant as drivers of price action. This puts thematic macro-level concerns – specifically, the durability of the US recovery and its ability to offset headwinds from Europe and China facing global growth – squarely at the forefront. The US economic calendar is relatively quiet, with headline event risk clustered at the end of the week as PPI and UofM Consumer Confidence readings cross the wires on Friday. This puts the onus on evaluating the extent of downward pressure.
The ongoing political turmoil in Europe continues to shake the markets, with the inability for Greece to form a government now fueling speculation that the country might soon exit the Eurozone. Although an exit by Greece would have only a minimal impact on the broader economy, given the country’s size, fears of contagion seem to be the bigger problem right now, as investors start to price in the impact this will have on larger economies like Spain and Italy.
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