Currency Strategy

Monday's FOREX Market Analysis

AUDUSD has formed a cycle top at 1.0585 on 4-hour chart. Sideways movement in a range between 1.0500 and 1.0585 would likely be seen. Key support is located at the lower line of the price channel, as long as the channel support holds, the price action from 1.0585 is treated as consolidation of the uptrend from 1.0287, and another rise towards 1.0624 (Sep 14 high) could be expected after consolidation

Euro

– Market optimism fades and suggests more USD strength – Widespread calls for a break lower in Eur/Usd – Key economic data and political risk ahead – Focus for now on monthly US employment data Although we have seen no clear breakouts in most of the major currencies, and although the Euro still remains locked in a very well defined 1.3000-1.3500 consolidation (that has defined trade for much of 2012),

USD Advances Curbed By Cautious Bernanke – 9900 Remains Critical

    The greenback is softer at the close of North American trade with the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (Ticker: USDOLLAR) off by 0.18% on the session. The FOMC interest rate decision was central focus today with the central bank maintaining its pledge to keep rates anchored through 2014 while giving a slightly more upbeat assessment of the economy. The Fed raised its 2012 growth forecast to 2.4%-2.9% from

NZ Dollar Rallies as RBNZ Holds Rates

THE TAKEAWAY: RBNZ holds rates at 2.50% > RBNZ wait-and-see approach contrasts with RBA’s dovish bias > Kiwi strengthens