Welcomes to today’s Morning Coffee Break – U.S. markets are coming of the largest single day gains since early September. Depending on which analysts have the airways the move was due to an extreme oversold condition while others point to the growing confidence in a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff.
This week’s trade in the oil market may witness bottoming action take place, as the U.S. election begins to move to center stage. There may also be an exit from the markets by hedge funds that close their books on Oct 31st, but the impact they actually exert may be somewhat limited in the near-term as their long positioning has already been reduced.
Welcome to Wednesday’s Morning Coffee Break – Yesterday’s rally of triple digits on the Dow Jones Industrial and over 14 points in the S&P 500 has put U.S. markets back in the green for the month of October, just 8 session before Friday’s 25th anniversary of the 1987 stock crash.
Welcome to Friday’s Morning Coffee Break – As we begin the final trading session in the week and finish off the first two full weeks of October U.S. stock indexes are on pace for the largest weekly drop in four months. October historically is a down month as markets prepare for the final two months of the year and it appears Mr. Market wants to stay with tradition as the
Most of the major currency pairs continue to show significant correlations with the MSCI World Stock Index, suggesting that broad-based risk appetite trends remain dominant as drivers of price action. This puts thematic macro-level concerns – specifically, the durability of the US recovery and its ability to offset headwinds from Europe and China facing global growth – squarely at the forefront. The US economic calendar is relatively quiet, with headline event risk clustered at the end of the week as PPI and UofM Consumer Confidence readings cross the wires on Friday. This puts the onus on evaluating the extent of downward pressure.
The ongoing political turmoil in Europe continues to shake the markets, with the inability for Greece to form a government now fueling speculation that the country might soon exit the Eurozone. Although an exit by Greece would have only a minimal impact on the broader economy, given the country’s size, fears of contagion seem to be the bigger problem right now, as investors start to price in the impact this will have on larger economies like Spain and Italy.
Euro: French, Greek Elections Raises Risk For Breakup – 1.3000 Crucial British Pound: Correction In Focus, BoE To Discuss Exit Strategy Euro: French, Greek Elections Raises Risk For Breakup – 1.3000 Crucial The Euro tumbled to a fresh monthly low of 1.2954 as French President Francois Hollande overtook Nicolas Sarkozy as the president of France, while the two main parties in Greece failed to obtain a joint majority, and the
THE TAKEAWAY: PPI numbers come in lower than expected -> high energy prices continue to affect producers -> Euro trades within tight range Producer price inflation in the 17-nation Eurozone increased less than expected in March, representing the sixth consecutive monthly drop in the gauge. The month-on-month number came in at 0.6% vs. the 0.5% predicted by economists, while the yearly number was 3.3% versus the expected 3.4%. The numbers
The NZDUSD (Kiwi Dollar) currency pair is one riddled with uncertainty. It has spent the better part of 2012 heading higher from its January low at .7708. After moving as much as 677 pips to our standing high at .8385, the pair has faltered failing to advance further to challenge the pairs all time high at .8841.
Daily Winners and Losers The Japanese yen is the top performer against a stronger dollar at the close of European trade with loss of just 0.11% on the session. The greenback has continued to outperform all its major counterparts as markets remain on the defensive after a weaker than expected ADP employment report showed the addition of just 119K private sector jobs in April, missing consensus estimates for a print
