The recent rally for soft commodities appears to have stalled once again last week, as improving weather conditions across the US mid West allowed harvesting to get back on track with the forecast for a record crop now back in focus.
Last week’s price action for the Ag commodities (DBA, quote), could best be described as a pause, following the long decline of the last few months, as the primary markets of corn, soybean and wheat, finally found some support, moving sideways but with a mildly bullish tone.
It was another week of falling prices for soft commodities (DBA, quote) once more, as over supply issues continue to dominate across all the major markets, and clearly evident from the weekly charts. It is the US which sets the price for world markets as the largest exporter, with the US Midwest corn belt set to produce a record harvest for a second year.
What an end to the month! If traders in soft commodities were expecting a quiet end to the first quarter of 2013, there was a real sting in the tail, with the latest USDA report released on the 28th March, sending corn futures tumbling, and spilling over into oats and the soybean market. And the catalyst for these dramatic falls?
The overnight markets once again give a little for everyone as decent swings were seen throughout the evening session. The beans have rallied nearly $1 since last Friday and they had the least impact from the USDA while corn has gained only 40 cents. So what should be done now?
The overnight markets have once again given a little for everyone as the markets have traded on both sides but seem to gaining some strength through the early AM hours so far.
The markets are trying to recover from the bad hang over of the first week of 2013 as grain markets are testing areas that have not been seen since before the start of the worst drought in 100 years.
Rice_GrainsThe overnight markets are rolling over as the morning is progressing as once again there is not much of any bullish influences in any market so far. The beans are down 2-4 cents, meal has lost $1, oil is down 5-10 points, corn is down 3-4 and wheat is down 5-6.
The overnight markets are all over the place, most recently collapsing from 7-8CST with beans trading down more than double digits. The meal has quickly lost $3-4, oil remains 20-30 points lower, corn is melting trading down 5-6 and wheat has drifted lower trading down 4-5 cents.
The overnight market have once again shown some signs of life in the soy-complex as this market seems to be the only market that has global interest. The beans as of 8CST are trading +6-9, meal gained $1.50-2, oil increased by 25-30 points, corn is virtually unchanged…again and wheat is up 2-3.
